‘The herd’s movement is undeniable.’
This was Boris Johnson’s analogy for the MPs’ rebellion that led to his resignation in 2022.
Once again, the political arena witnesses a deliberation among MPs on potentially ousting Keir Starmer, as the pressure on his leadership intensifies. The situation is dynamic with uncertain outcomes.
Downing Street felt a sense of foreboding on Monday evening as more MPs demanded the Prime Minister’s resignation, hinting at a possible coordinated effort to force him out. The next 24-48 hours will be pivotal to see if this trend continues.
While the choice of a successor remains divisive, attention in Westminster seems to be shifting towards Andy Burnham, the Mayor of Greater Manchester, as a potential solution to the ruling party’s electoral challenges.
There is growing discussion among MPs about the PM outlining a departure timeline, essentially suggesting a window for Burnham’s return to Parliament.
Burnham enjoys significant public support at a time when trust in politicians is low. The obstacle of approval from Labour’s NEC for his parliamentary comeback seems to be diminishing.
Recent reports indicate a shift in the stance of NEC officials towards allowing Burnham to contest for a parliamentary seat, potentially paving the way for his return to Westminster.
Angela Rayner, a former Deputy PM, has expressed support for Burnham’s return to Parliament and has held private discussions with him. Despite awaiting the outcome of a tax investigation, she may align with Burnham in the face of challenges.
Speculation looms among MPs who previously supported Rayner, fearing the tax issue may hinder her comeback even if cleared. There are concerns she might rally behind Burnham, potentially competing with Wes Streeting’s efforts to block Burnham’s candidacy.
Despite a ministerial aide’s resignation under the Health Secretary, reports suggest no immediate action is planned. Downing Street remains hopeful that the PM can weather the storm and unite MPs with a forthcoming speech.
The Prime Minister’s fate now rests in the hands of his Cabinet and the Parliamentary Labour Party.