Andy Burnham made a notable entrance in Westminster last week, following his decisive victory in Makerfield. Labour MPs enthusiastically welcomed him in Westminster Hall, hailing him as a potential future Prime Minister.
Despite the lingering heatwave, Burnham faces the stark political realities ahead. With a tight deadline of just over three weeks, he and his small team are tasked with solidifying a government agenda, selecting Cabinet members, establishing a new No10 team, and setting up effective communication channels. Amid a flood of suggestions from various entities vying for his attention, Burnham must navigate the complexities of decision-making while existing ministers strive to retain their positions.
While currently enjoying widespread popularity in Westminster, Burnham’s ability to maintain this status hinges on his upcoming actions. A pivotal moment awaits on Monday, as he is set to unveil his vision for a Burnham administration during a significant address in Manchester. Central to his platform is a bold proposal to decentralize power from Westminster, empowering mayors with enhanced authority and resources, alongside a commitment to establish a “No10 in the north.”
This theme is expected to define Burnham’s tenure, influenced by his nearly nine-year tenure as Mayor of Greater Manchester, which exposed him to the inequities faced by England’s regions compared to London and the South East. Emphasizing the need for a more equitable approach, Burnham advocates for a system where regional and local leaders are not solely reliant on Westminster for resources and support.
Against a backdrop of unfulfilled promises by past leaders, such as Boris Johnson’s “levelling up” pledge and Rishi Sunak’s redirection of funds, Burnham must substantiate his ambitions to instill confidence in his commitment to change. Key to this will be the unveiling of detailed economic strategies and the selection of a Chancellor, whose appointment will offer insights into Burnham’s future direction.
Ed Miliband, a prominent advisor to Burnham, is a leading contender for the Chancellor role, with his potential appointment signaling a more progressive stance. Alternatively, figures like Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood or Pensions Secretary Pat McFadden could present more conservative options.
Navigating economic challenges like rising living costs, productivity issues, mounting debt, and job market struggles will demand astute political maneuvering from Burnham, akin to the tests faced by his predecessor, Keir Starmer. Additionally, Burnham must address international affairs adeptly, a domain where Starmer found success through diplomatic achievements and strategic alliances.
Burnham’s foreign policy outlook remains uncertain, with indications that he aims to prioritize domestic matters over international engagements. However, the evolving global landscape poses potential challenges that may necessitate a shift in focus. The selection of a Foreign Secretary will be a crucial decision, with speculation surrounding the return of former Foreign Secretary David Miliband to the government ranks.
Drawing on his extensive political experience, including past Cabinet roles and his tenure as Mayor of Greater Manchester, Burnham possesses a wealth of expertise. Nevertheless, the time constraints he faces to finalize his plans are formidable, highlighting the urgency of his preparations.
Labour MPs express a mix of hope and caution regarding Burnham’s prospects, recognizing both the potential rewards of his success and the inherent risks of backing a relatively untested candidate in such a crucial role.